چکیده مقاله
Ultraviolet radiation has some beneficial effects such as making vitamin D and disinfecting Predicting the ultraviolet radiation can be very beneficial to human health In this study, the Tropospheric Ultraviolet and Visible TUV model was used to predict the UltraViolet Index UVI This model requires the data of ozone column, albedo, and Aerosol Optical Depth AOD to forecast UVI The Global Forecasting System GFS was used for the ozone column and albedo data, and the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model WACCM was used for AOD data In this study, 102 case studies over coastal stations and islands of Persian Gulf and Oman Sea in the years 2019, 2020 and 2021 were selected Due to the lack of access to the actual value of UVI, the Ozone Monitoring Instrument OMI data are assumed as observational data The GFS, WACCM and OMI data were extracted for the selected dates and interpolated at the desired points Afterwards, the interpolated values with latitude, longitude and altitude of points were given as inputs to the TUV model and UVI were forecasted The results showed in the warm months of the year, when the amount of UVI is higher than the cold months, the forecast error is higher In addition, when the AOD value is high, the forecast error is high as well, but in general, the forecast is very accurate In all selected case studies, ME, MAE, RMSE and R are 0 81, 1 07, 1 83 and 0 75, respectively, indicating the high accuracy of the UVI forecast
کلیدواژهها
نویسندگان
Mehdi Rahnama
Assistant Professor, Atmospheric Science and Meteorological Research Center ASMERC , Tehran
Atefeh Mohammadi
Research Expert, Atmospheric Science and Meteorological Research Center ASMERC , Tehran
Razieh Pahlavan
PhD Candidate, Atmospheric Science and Meteorological Research Center ASMERC , Tehran
Saviz Sehat Kashani
Assistant Professor, Atmospheric Science and Meteorological Research Center ASMERC , Tehran
شیوه ارجاع
Rahnama, Mehdi and Mohammadi, Atefeh and Pahlavan, Razieh and Sehat Kashani, Saviz,1400,The Ultraviolet Index Forecast Using TUV Model over the Coasts of Persian Gulf and Oman Sea,Fifth International Conference on Persian Gulf Oceanography,Tehran
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