چکیده مقاله
According to the results of implementing different scenarios for analyzing the researchmodel, the final research outputs can be presented as follows:Scenario 1: In this scenario, which considers the current conditions, it can be clearlyobserved that if policy 1 is used, the trend of the water balance will be ascending until1398 2019 2020 and will show a value of 1 159 trillion liters; however, from 1399 2020 2021 this trend will gradually decrease, and the drought crisis will begin Also,policy 2 has been very effective and has significantly contributed to the downward trendof the water balance; and finally, in policy 3, as expected, this policy has also beenuseful and has provided very good assistance in preventing drought and delaying it withthe water balance So that in a numerical comparison and summary, it can be said thatthe amount of water balance in 1400 2021 2022 has reached 1 153, 1 141, and 1 170trillion liters under policies 1, 2, and 3, respectively, from 1 141 trillion liters in thecurrent conditions Scenario 2: In this scenario, wet conditions are assumed, in which the improvement of thewater balance is greater than the current conditions and drought conditions by itself; andeven the increase in price in all three urban, industrial, and agricultural consumptionsectors does not have a significant effect on the consumption trend According to theresults, the amount of water balance in 1400 2021 2022 has reached 1 168, 1 157, and1 186 trillion liters under policies 1, 2, and 3, respectively, from 1 141 trillion liters inthe current conditions
کلیدواژهها
نویسندگان
Behsa Asadi
Master of Urban Planning Regional Planning, Qazvin Azad University,
Hastia Asadi
Postdoctoral researcher, Technical University of Munich
شیوه ارجاع
Asadi, Behsa and Asadi, Hastia,1403,Providing a novel approach in water resourcesplanning and management using system dynamicsmodel,Second International Conference on applied researches in civil engineering, architecture and urban planning
ارائهشده در
مجموعه مقالات دومین کنفرانس بین المللی تحقیقات پیشرفته در مهندسی عمران، معماری و شهرسازی20 آبان 1403