چکیده مقاله
Urban growth pattern modeling is an important technique for describing the process of urban growth development in terms of quantity and location In this study, the Geomod approach was used to urban growth pattern modeling in Gorgan area in northern Iran in the period of 8811 0202 At first, the remotely sensed data of the years8811, 8881, and 0222 were used to produce land use maps Land use maps were used to implement change detection process in the two time periods of 8811 8881 and 8881 0222 The results indicated an increase in urban areas during the whole research time period In the next step, dependent and independent variables were extracted to perform urban growth pattern modeling Also, LR was used to determine the most important factor in urban expansion After preparing the suitability map, Geomod was run for the years of 8811– 8881 and 8881 – 0222 Also, the Geomod approach was used to predict the future condition of the area in the years of 0282 and 0202 The results revealed that urban area would increase in the future Moreover, the variable of “distance to urban edge” is the most important factor in urban growth pattern in this region According to the results, there is a need for well planned measures to control land use change, especially urban growth, in order to preserve the environment and the ecological balance of the area Therefore, careful planning can control land use change and also reduce the land use change impacts in the future in this region
کلیدواژهها
نویسندگان
Somayeh Galdavi
Department of Water Sciences and EngineeringFaculty of Agricultural sciencesKashmar Higher Education InstituteKashmar, Iran
Marjan Mohammadzadeh
Department of Environmental sciencesFaculty of fisheries and environmental sciencesGorgan University of Agricultural Sciences & Natural ResourcesGorgan Iran
Abdolrasoul Salman Mahiny
Department of Environmental sciencesFaculty of fisheries and environmental sciencesGorgan University of Agricultural Sciences & Natural ResourcesGorgan Iran
شیوه ارجاع
Galdavi, Somayeh and Mohammadzadeh, Marjan and Salman Mahiny, Abdolrasoul,1401,Predicting urban growth pattern using the Geomod approach,7th International Conference on Agriculture & Environment with sustainable development approach,Tehran
ارائهشده در
مجموعه مقالات هفتمین همایش بین المللی مهندسی کشاورزی و محیط زیست با رویکرد توسعه پایدار25 اسفند 1401 · تهران