چکیده مقاله
Climate change poses major risks to Hamedan's drinking water supply, which depends on the Ekbatan Dam, Talvar Dam, and groundwater Groundwater use is already declining, while the Ekbatan Dam the main source shows high variability, making future projections essential To assess this, researchers compared historical climate data with models and identified ACCESS ESM1 5 as the best fit Using the LARS WG model, future climate projections were generated and applied in the SWAT hydrological model to estimate runoff into Ekbatan Dam under three scenarios: SSP1 optimistic , SSP2 average , and SSP5 pessimistic Results show annual runoff of 92 47 mm SSP1 , 103 94 mm SSP2 , and 94 32 mm SSP5 , producing 19 8, 22 6, and 20 51 million cubic meters of water per month, respectively These projections highlight significant variability but provide a valuable basis for planners to design sustainable strategies to secure Hamedan's future water supply under uncertain climate conditions
کلیدواژهها
نویسندگان
Shaghayegh Lashkari
Faculty of Environment, University of Tehran
بابک امیدوار
University of Tehran
Saman Javadi
University of Tehran
شیوه ارجاع
Lashkari, Shaghayegh and Omidvar, Babak and Javadi, Saman,1404,Estimating drinking water supply in Hamedan city in the next 25 years under the influence of climate change using LARS-WG and SWAT models,14th International Congress on Civil Engineering,Tehran
ارائهشده در
مجموعه مقالات چهاردهمین کنگره بین المللی مهندسی عمران29 مهر 1404 · تهران