چکیده مقاله
Asset pricing is a crucial topic in the financial world The goal of this study is to see if specific asset price parameters impact whether stock returns are estimated consistently or differently over time In particular, the goal of this research is to see how well the Consumption based CAPM can forecast stock returns This study uses statistical metrics to examine the relationship between consumption and stock returns using data from the China Stock Exchange The log surplus consumption ratio is the crucial state variable scr According to our findings, the estimated coefficient of scrt has an inverse connection with stock return, which is consistent with the core ideas We demonstrated that scrt has the highest performance with the lowest error value at short horizons one quarter ahead Scrt is the best forecasting in the short and long term horizons, according to the results of the regressors with control variables In general, scrt in the short term and scrt with control variables in the long run are the best regressors of all The findings of the study can be used by researchers and investors
کلیدواژهها
نویسندگان
Mohammad Feghhi Kashani
Affiliation: Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Allameh Tabataba'i University, Tehran, Iran
Faezeh Zareian Baghdad Abadi
School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, China
Zahra Ziyaee
Affiliation: PhD candidate in Monetary Economics, Department of Economics, Allameh Tabataba'i University, Tehran, Iran
شیوه ارجاع
Zareian Baghdad Abadi, Faezeh,1401,Exploring Surplus Consumption Ratio (SCR) Role In Predicting Stock Return: An Empirical Study,10th International Conference on Management, World Trade, Economics, Finance and Social Sciences
ارائهشده در
مجموعه مقالات دهمین کنفرانس بین المللی مدیریت، تجارت جهانی، اقتصاد، دارایی و علوم اجتماعی25 اردیبهشت 1401