چکیده مقاله
In recent decades, climate change has become one of the structural drivers influencing population displacement and spatial inequalities The present study aims to examine the relationship between changes in land surface temperature LST and net migration in East Azerbaijan Province during the years 1996 to 2016 For this purpose, satellite data were used to extract LST through the Google Earth Engine environment, and official census data from the Statistical Center of Iran were employed to determine migration rates at the county level Data analysis was conducted using a simple linear regression model to evaluate the relationship between temperature variations and migration rates within the selected time frame The results indicate that increases in land surface temperature in most counties of the province have coincided with a rise in net migration, revealing a positive and significant relationship between the two variables Particularly, counties such as Tabriz, Maragheh, and Bonab—which have experienced the greatest increases in surface temperature—also show the highest levels of net migration These findings suggest that climatic warming, through mechanisms such as reduced water resources, declining land productivity, and the weakening of rural livelihoods, has acted as a key driver of population movement in the province From a spatial–developmental perspective, the results highlight that climatic warming, interacting with existing structural inequalities, has contributed to the concentration of population and services in urban centers and the weakening of economic vitality in peripheral areas In other words, climate change is not merely an environmental phenomenon but also a social and economic force shaping spatial population rearrangements and exacerbating unbalanced development This study emphasizes the necessity of integrating climatic indicators into spatial planning and balanced development policies to achieve demographic sustainability in harmony with climatic stability
کلیدواژهها
نویسندگان
Asma Farshforoush Imani
M Sc Student in Regional Planning, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Saeed Saadaty
M Sc in Civil Engineering, Islamic Azad University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran
شیوه ارجاع
Farshforoush Imani, Asma and Saadaty, Saeed,1404,Changes in Climatic Conditions and Spatial Inequality: Assessing the Relationship between Land Surface Temperature and Net Migration in East Azerbaijan Province (1996–2016),Third International Conference on applied researches in civil engineering, architecture and urban planning
ارائهشده در
مجموعه مقالات سومین کنفرانس بین المللی پژوهش های کاربردی در مهندسی عمران، معماری و شهرسازی30 آبان 1404