چکیده مقاله
Over the past decades, hydrological modeling has become an essential tool in water resources management Among various types of models, Data driven modeling has gained more attention since they require fewerdata and are relatively easy to implement and understand This study utilizes an ANFIS model to simulatenatural upstream runoff in the Zayandehrud basin The ANFIS models with precipitation and temperatureas inputs are trained and tested on the Chelgard Gale Shahrokh sub basin The results in both the train andtest sections highlight the importance and strength of ANFIS systems in process of modeling complexhydrological systems Furthermore, for future projection, downscaled and bias corrected precipitation andtemperature data of CMIP6 scenarios are used as inputs to calculate runoff projections in three mainimportant scenarios of CMIP6 named SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 The results of projections of SSPscenarios indicate an increase in temperature in winter seasons which diminishes precipitations in snowfallform and increases rainfall precipitation Moreover, runoff peaks might shift to winter months instead ofspring and the number of flash floods and their intensity may increase due to increased rainfall precipitation
کلیدواژهها
نویسندگان
Farzan Bahmani
Master Student, Department of Civil Engineering, Isfahan University of Technology IUT ,Isfahan, Iran
Mohammad Hossein Golmohammadi
Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Isfahan University of Technology IUT , Isfahan, Iran
حمیدرضا صفوی
Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Isfahan University of Technology IUT , Isfahan,Iran
شیوه ارجاع
Bahmani, Farzan and Golmohammadi, Mohammad Hossein and Safavi, Hamid Reza,1402,Rainfall-Runoff Modeling and Analysis under CMIP6 Scenariosby ANFIS; Case Study: Zayandehrud River,13th International Congress on Civil Engineering,Tehran
ارائهشده در
مجموعه مقالات سیزدهمین کنگره بین المللی مهندسی عمران25 مهر 1402 · تهران